Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-08-0804:10Citi Field

Braves

Away

2-5

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Braves	0	0	0	0	0	2	0	0	0	2	2	0
Mets	0	0	4	0	1	0	0	0	X	5	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.9

Braves scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 47%

Opponent allowing 33%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 27%

Opponent allowing 43%

Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp

Inn.6

Braves scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mets scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Braves scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mets scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Braves offense × Mets defense

40%R 47% · RA 33%

Mets offense × Braves defense

35%R 27% · RA 43%

Sample 14Combined vs league +24pp

Last 20 75% · Season 57% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+2pp

7–9 Late

57%

+6pp

F5 first five

51%

-2pp

F9 full game

55%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

109 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 520Runs Allowed 436

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

108 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 518Runs Allowed 410

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Braves	R	28% 31/109	28% 30/109	#331% 34/109	28% 31/109	#134% 37/109	27% 29/109	28% 30/109	23% 25/109	#232% 25/78	56% 9/16
Braves	RA	#326% 28/109	26% 28/109	23% 25/109	19% 21/109	23% 25/109	#138% 41/109	20% 22/109	25% 27/109	#227% 24/89	69% 11/16
Mets	R	#234% 37/108	20% 22/108	#331% 34/108	29% 31/108	29% 31/108	#135% 38/108	24% 26/108	25% 27/108	30% 24/79	82% 9/11
Mets	RA	23% 25/108	23% 25/108	18% 19/108	#127% 29/108	18% 19/108	#324% 26/108	23% 25/108	24% 26/108	#226% 23/90	36% 4/11

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.