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Final
2022-08-0707:10Target Field
3-7
Twins
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays000200010370
Twins00201202X7110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Twins scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Twins offense × Blue Jays defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 80% · Season 57% · +23pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
73%
+19pp
7–9 Late
42%
-9pp
F5 first five
63%
+10pp
F9 full game
56%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games
022446689594816140269603515246671566466524175341827309101810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 514Runs Allowed 447

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

106 games
022446689714814337258493605445863540476475175064837299151310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 479Runs Allowed 455
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#137% 39/10632% 34/106#233% 35/10625% 27/10628% 30/106#333% 35/10633% 35/10625% 26/10625% 19/7658% 7/12
RA27% 29/10625% 26/106#230% 32/106#328% 30/106#133% 35/10628% 30/10625% 27/10623% 24/10622% 19/8675% 9/12
TwinsR#135% 37/10626% 28/106#328% 30/106#230% 32/10627% 29/10624% 25/10627% 29/10623% 24/10623% 19/8460% 6/10
RA27% 29/10623% 24/106#230% 32/106#330% 32/106#134% 36/10622% 23/10627% 29/10626% 28/10619% 16/8480% 8/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.