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Final
2022-08-0608:10Target Field
5-6
Twins
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Team12345678910RHE
Blue Jays00001300105112
Twins0014000001X6110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Twins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp
#2
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 45%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp
#3
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Twins scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Twins offense × Blue Jays defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +23pp
Last 20 75% · Season 57% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
54%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
70%
+16pp
7–9 Late
41%
-10pp
F5 first five
62%
+9pp
F9 full game
55%
+3pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games
022446689594816140269593514846571563466524175341826309101710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 509Runs Allowed 441

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

105 games
022446689714814337257493565445862540446475175064837289141310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.51.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 473Runs Allowed 450
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#137% 39/10532% 34/105#233% 35/10526% 27/10528% 29/10532% 34/105#333% 35/10525% 26/10524% 18/7564% 7/11
RA28% 29/10525% 26/105#230% 31/10528% 29/105#133% 35/105#329% 30/10526% 27/10523% 24/10522% 19/8573% 8/11
TwinsR#135% 37/10527% 28/105#328% 29/105#230% 31/10528% 29/10524% 25/10528% 29/10523% 24/10523% 19/8356% 5/9
RA28% 29/10523% 24/105#230% 32/105#330% 32/105#133% 35/10521% 22/10528% 29/10527% 28/10518% 15/8389% 8/9

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.