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Final
2022-08-0400:10Tropicana Field
2-3
Rays
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Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays100100000241
Rays00110100X361

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Heating upCombined vs league +18pp
#3
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
30%R 15% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 73% · Season 54% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
59%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
65%
+11pp
7–9 Late
36%
-15pp
F5 first five
64%
+11pp
F9 full game
53%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

103 games
022446689584816140269583504646571560446524174741826299101710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.41.912345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 498Runs Allowed 435

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

103 games
020416182654514937240503375144938545456503774848813349252010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 421Runs Allowed 405
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#137% 38/10333% 34/103#234% 35/10325% 26/10328% 29/10332% 33/103#334% 35/10324% 25/10325% 18/7364% 7/11
RA#328% 29/10325% 26/103#229% 30/10326% 27/103#134% 35/10327% 28/10326% 27/10323% 24/10321% 18/8473% 8/11
RaysR#130% 31/103#229% 30/10323% 24/10322% 23/10325% 26/10324% 25/103#326% 27/10226% 27/10211% 8/7565% 13/20
RA22% 23/10321% 22/10323% 24/103#227% 28/10321% 22/10325% 25/10223% 23/102#326% 27/102#128% 22/8070% 14/20

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.