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Final
2022-07-2702:20Wrigley Field
2-4
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +22pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 24%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
30%R 35% · RA 25%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
48%R 35% · RA 60%
Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp
Last 20 77% · Season 65% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
43%
-9pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+6pp
7–9 Late
46%
-6pp
F5 first five
50%
-2pp
F9 full game
50%
-3pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

97 games
02245679031541377225336332554435653449639537346483940971210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 349Runs Allowed 491

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games
023466992645116146236733544945256531536335474444822309172510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 414Runs Allowed 481
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR21% 20/9724% 23/97#130% 29/9723% 22/97#229% 28/9723% 22/9721% 20/97#325% 24/9721% 17/8056% 5/9
RA#231% 30/9729% 28/9720% 19/97#330% 29/97#136% 35/9724% 23/9727% 26/9729% 28/9726% 18/7078% 7/9
CubsR#136% 35/96#330% 29/9624% 23/96#231% 30/9630% 29/9617% 16/9522% 21/9526% 25/9517% 13/7739% 9/23
RA28% 27/9626% 25/96#233% 32/9629% 28/96#134% 33/96#332% 31/9627% 26/9525% 24/9525% 19/7561% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.