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Final
2022-07-2608:05Wrigley Field
2-3
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Pirates010010000281
Cubs01100001X391

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 60%
Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp
#2
Inn.6
Pirates scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Heating upCombined vs league +10pp
#3
Inn.9
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 29%
Cubs scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 25%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Cubs defense
25%R 30% · RA 20%
Cubs offense × Pirates defense
48%R 35% · RA 60%
Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp
Last 20 72% · Season 64% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
42%
-11pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+9pp
7–9 Late
50%
-1pp
F5 first five
50%
-3pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

96 games
02244668931541367125335332554425653449639537346383940971210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 347Runs Allowed 488

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

95 games
023466992645116045235733544945255531536335474344822309172510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.412345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 411Runs Allowed 479
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR21% 20/9623% 22/96#130% 29/9623% 22/96#228% 27/9623% 22/9621% 20/96#325% 24/9622% 17/7956% 5/9
RA#231% 30/9628% 27/9619% 18/96#330% 29/96#136% 35/9624% 23/9627% 26/9628% 27/9626% 18/7078% 7/9
CubsR#137% 35/9529% 28/9523% 22/95#232% 30/95#331% 29/9517% 16/9422% 21/9426% 24/9417% 13/7739% 9/23
RA28% 27/9525% 24/95#134% 32/9529% 28/95#234% 32/95#333% 31/9528% 26/9426% 24/9426% 19/7461% 14/23

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.