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Final
2022-07-1607:10Tropicana Field
4-5
Rays
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Orioles0011000204100
Rays00010400X580

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Orioles scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.5
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Rays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#3
Inn.9
Orioles scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Rays scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 13%
Opponent allowing 38%
Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Orioles offense × Rays defense
40%R 45% · RA 35%
Rays offense × Orioles defense
22%R 25% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 62% · Season 52% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
51%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
53%
-0pp
7–9 Late
52%
+0pp
F5 first five
53%
+0pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
01837557423491394025750332374485954843644337373283227911710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 371Runs Allowed 377

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games
018365472574214430231433294544628538406483374535812319221710+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 372Runs Allowed 344
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
OriolesR17% 15/8924% 21/89#231% 28/8921% 19/89#133% 29/8925% 22/8925% 22/8822% 19/88#326% 19/7260% 9/15
RA#230% 27/8921% 19/89#330% 27/8922% 20/89#133% 29/8929% 26/8925% 22/8820% 18/8826% 17/6533% 5/15
RaysR#229% 26/89#329% 26/8920% 18/8921% 19/8927% 24/8924% 21/89#130% 26/8828% 25/8811% 7/6465% 11/17
RA22% 20/8919% 17/8921% 19/89#326% 23/8919% 17/89#226% 23/8823% 20/8823% 20/88#128% 20/7171% 12/17

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.