Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-07-1607:07Rogers Centre

Royals

Away

1-8

Blue Jays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Royals	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	5	1
Blue Jays	0	1	3	0	3	1	0	0	X	8	16	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Royals scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 55%

Blue Jays scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +32pp

Inn.2

Royals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 45%

Blue Jays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp

Inn.1

Royals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Blue Jays scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Royals offense × Blue Jays defense

40%R 25% · RA 55%

Blue Jays offense × Royals defense

48%R 45% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +32pp

Last 20 88% · Season 58% · +30pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

66%

+13pp

4–6 Middle

63%

+10pp

7–9 Late

52%

+0pp

F5 first five

68%

+15pp

F9 full game

60%

+8pp

Show team trends+

Royals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

89 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 351Runs Allowed 451

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

90 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 410Runs Allowed 396

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Royals	R	#229% 26/89	24% 21/89	#134% 30/89	20% 18/89	22% 20/89	27% 24/89	27% 24/89	#328% 25/89	23% 16/71	50% 4/8
Royals	RA	30% 27/89	29% 26/89	21% 19/89	#137% 33/89	#331% 28/89	27% 24/89	#236% 32/89	31% 28/89	29% 19/65	50% 4/8
Blue Jays	R	#237% 33/90	#333% 30/90	32% 29/90	23% 21/90	28% 25/90	31% 28/90	#138% 34/90	26% 23/90	23% 15/66	60% 6/10
Blue Jays	RA	#229% 26/90	26% 23/90	#329% 26/90	24% 22/90	#133% 30/90	27% 24/90	28% 25/90	26% 23/90	24% 17/71	70% 7/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.