Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-07-1101:40Citi Field

Marlins

Away

2-0

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	2	6	2
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	7	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Marlins scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 39%

Mets scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 21%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

28%R 25% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 68% · Season 51% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

47%

-6pp

4–6 Middle

57%

+3pp

7–9 Late

48%

-3pp

F5 first five

53%

+0pp

F9 full game

50%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

83 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 357Runs Allowed 353

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 409Runs Allowed 337

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	19% 16/83	22% 18/83	27% 22/83	24% 20/83	#330% 25/83	29% 24/83	#134% 28/83	14% 12/83	#230% 20/66	71% 5/7
Marlins	RA	#134% 28/83	22% 18/83	27% 22/83	22% 18/83	#234% 28/83	24% 20/83	17% 14/83	#330% 25/83	28% 18/64	86% 6/7
Mets	R	#136% 31/85	18% 15/85	26% 22/85	#333% 28/85	29% 25/85	#234% 29/85	25% 21/85	25% 21/85	31% 19/61	100% 7/7
Mets	RA	#325% 21/85	#126% 22/85	22% 19/85	#226% 22/85	20% 17/85	24% 20/85	22% 19/85	25% 21/85	24% 17/70	29% 2/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.