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Final
2022-07-0907:20Truist Park
2-12
Braves
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Nationals002000000250
Braves15110004X12150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 29%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 24%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.7
Nationals scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 21%
Opponent allowing 25%
Braves scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 26%
Heating upCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
27%R 25% · RA 29%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
35%R 47% · RA 24%
Sample 15Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 62% · Season 48% · +14pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
51%
-3pp
7–9 Late
54%
+3pp
F5 first five
48%
-5pp
F9 full game
51%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

85 games
02041618257551345223563338564366554951625497413481428941010+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.62.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 333Runs Allowed 463

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

84 games
016335067384015142253373362345333543496443173834827289131910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 396Runs Allowed 336
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#233% 28/8522% 19/8518% 15/8524% 20/8525% 21/85#136% 31/8520% 17/84#329% 24/8416% 11/7067% 4/6
RA#234% 29/8525% 21/85#334% 29/8528% 24/85#139% 33/8532% 27/8529% 24/8420% 17/8427% 17/6483% 5/6
BravesR26% 22/84#330% 25/84#232% 27/8427% 23/84#136% 30/8427% 23/8425% 21/8423% 19/8430% 18/6162% 8/13
RA#229% 24/84#325% 21/8420% 17/8419% 16/8424% 20/84#137% 31/8423% 19/8423% 19/8424% 17/7085% 11/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.