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Final
2022-07-0604:10Petco Park
6-2
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.7
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 15%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
22%R 25% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 65% · Season 53% · +12pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
54%
+1pp
7–9 Late
54%
+2pp
F5 first five
48%
-5pp
F9 full game
52%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
0163350674430130382313335339439395373863245724308311996810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 327Runs Allowed 319

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

82 games
01939587834371322523430343284624353836644327384182637916610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 367Runs Allowed 315
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#230% 25/8218% 15/8226% 21/8227% 22/8226% 21/82#328% 23/8226% 21/8218% 15/82#132% 21/6675% 6/8
RA26% 21/8223% 19/82#228% 23/8224% 20/8222% 18/82#327% 22/82#134% 28/8220% 16/8221% 13/6138% 3/8
PadresR#327% 22/8223% 19/8227% 22/8222% 18/82#139% 32/8226% 21/82#229% 24/8227% 22/8221% 14/6769% 9/13
RA#228% 23/8220% 16/8223% 19/8222% 18/82#130% 25/8226% 21/8222% 18/82#327% 22/8224% 17/7038% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.