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Final
2022-07-0506:40Petco Park
8-2
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Mariners scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#2
Inn.5
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp
#3
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Padres defense
30%R 25% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Mariners defense
32%R 25% · RA 40%
Sample 20Combined vs league +11pp
Last 20 62% · Season 56% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
47%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-1pp
7–9 Late
52%
+1pp
F5 first five
48%
-5pp
F9 full game
51%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
0163248644230130382313335139439395343863245723308311796810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 319Runs Allowed 317

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

81 games
01939587834351322523430343264624353833644327384082437916610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 365Runs Allowed 307
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#230% 24/8119% 15/8126% 21/8126% 21/8126% 21/81#327% 22/8126% 21/8117% 14/81#132% 21/6575% 6/8
RA26% 21/8123% 19/81#228% 23/8125% 20/8122% 18/81#327% 22/81#135% 28/8120% 16/8120% 12/6038% 3/8
PadresR#327% 22/8123% 19/8127% 22/8122% 18/81#140% 32/8126% 21/81#230% 24/8127% 22/8120% 13/6669% 9/13
RA#227% 22/8120% 16/8123% 19/8121% 17/81#131% 25/8125% 20/8122% 18/81#326% 21/8125% 17/6938% 5/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.