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Final
2022-07-0402:20Wrigley Field
4-2
Cubs
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Cubs10000001000292

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.2
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.9
Red Sox scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 38%
Cubs scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 14%
Opponent allowing 41%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Cubs defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Red Sox defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Sample 20Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 72% · Season 53% · +20pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
68%
+14pp
4–6 Middle
57%
+3pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
62%
+8pp
F9 full game
61%
+9pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
019395878393115032238443421743441537346282276237827379131810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 370Runs Allowed 313

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games
020416182573915739229653474243851525486324673537814269111510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 345Runs Allowed 408
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#329% 23/7829% 23/78#132% 25/7827% 21/7827% 21/7826% 20/7822% 17/78#232% 25/7825% 15/5960% 6/10
RA24% 19/7817% 13/78#327% 21/7813% 10/78#229% 23/7819% 15/7822% 17/7824% 19/78#132% 21/6690% 9/10
CubsR#141% 32/78#232% 25/7824% 19/78#331% 24/7829% 23/7818% 14/7726% 20/7725% 19/7715% 9/6147% 7/15
RA26% 20/7827% 21/78#137% 29/7829% 23/78#236% 28/78#333% 26/7826% 20/7726% 20/7725% 15/6053% 8/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.