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Final
2022-07-0307:15Wrigley Field
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Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.1
Red Sox scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 45%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.2
Red Sox scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp
#3
Inn.9
Red Sox scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 40%
Cubs scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 13%
Opponent allowing 41%
Heating upCombined vs league +17pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Cubs defense
43%R 40% · RA 45%
Cubs offense × Red Sox defense
30%R 30% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
67%
+14pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+7pp
7–9 Late
59%
+8pp
F5 first five
63%
+10pp
F9 full game
62%
+9pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
019395878393115030238443421743441536346282276236827379131810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.11.72.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 369Runs Allowed 310

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

77 games
020416182573915539229653474243851525476324673437814269111510+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 342Runs Allowed 407
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR#330% 23/7730% 23/77#132% 25/7727% 21/7727% 21/7725% 19/7722% 17/77#232% 25/7726% 15/5860% 6/10
RA25% 19/7716% 12/77#327% 21/7713% 10/77#230% 23/7719% 15/7722% 17/7723% 18/77#132% 21/6690% 9/10
CubsR#142% 32/77#231% 24/7725% 19/77#331% 24/7730% 23/7718% 14/7626% 20/7624% 18/7615% 9/6147% 7/15
RA26% 20/7727% 21/77#138% 29/7730% 23/77#236% 28/77#332% 25/7726% 20/7626% 20/7625% 15/5953% 8/15

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.