Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-07-0206:05Nationals Park

Marlins

Away

6-3

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	3	0	1	2	0	0	0	6	12	0
Nationals	0	0	0	1	0	2	0	0	0	3	5	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Nationals scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.9

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 33%

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 21%

Opponent allowing 29%

Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Inn.1

Marlins scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cooling downCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Nationals defense

35%R 45% · RA 25%

Nationals offense × Marlins defense

45%R 40% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 80% · Season 64% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+8pp

7–9 Late

52%

+1pp

F5 first five

57%

+4pp

F9 full game

55%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

74 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 323Runs Allowed 318

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

78 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 315Runs Allowed 424

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	19% 14/74	23% 17/74	23% 17/74	26% 19/74	28% 21/74	#230% 22/74	#136% 27/74	14% 10/74	#329% 17/58	50% 2/4
Marlins	RA	#138% 28/74	23% 17/74	27% 20/74	20% 15/74	#235% 26/74	23% 17/74	16% 12/74	#330% 22/74	29% 16/56	100% 4/4
Nationals	R	#235% 27/78	22% 17/78	19% 15/78	23% 18/78	27% 21/78	#137% 29/78	19% 15/77	#327% 21/77	16% 10/63	75% 3/4
Nationals	RA	#235% 27/78	27% 21/78	29% 23/78	26% 20/78	#138% 30/78	#331% 24/78	29% 22/77	22% 17/77	27% 16/59	75% 3/4

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.