Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-06-1807:05Nationals Park

Phillies

Away

8-7

Nationals

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Phillies	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	2	1	2	8	7	1
Nationals	0	1	0	2	0	2	0	0	1	1	7	10	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 55%

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.4

Phillies scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Nationals scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.9

Phillies scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 47%

Opponent allowing 29%

Nationals scoring tendency

23%

Own scoring 6%

Opponent allowing 39%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Nationals defense

38%R 20% · RA 55%

Nationals offense × Phillies defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

53%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+7pp

7–9 Late

56%

+5pp

F5 first five

57%

+4pp

F9 full game

56%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

64 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 314Runs Allowed 276

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

66 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 269Runs Allowed 380

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Phillies	R	28% 18/64	#231% 20/64	30% 19/64	#136% 23/64	17% 11/64	27% 17/64	25% 16/64	30% 19/64	#331% 15/49	71% 5/7
Phillies	RA	23% 15/64	14% 9/64	19% 12/64	27% 17/64	#333% 21/64	#139% 25/64	30% 19/64	19% 12/64	#234% 18/53	100% 7/7
Nationals	R	#235% 23/66	18% 12/66	21% 14/66	24% 16/66	#329% 19/66	#136% 24/66	20% 13/66	27% 18/66	13% 7/55	100% 2/2
Nationals	RA	#236% 24/66	29% 19/66	#330% 20/66	27% 18/66	#141% 27/66	29% 19/66	29% 19/66	24% 16/66	27% 13/48	50% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.