Sportify
Final
2022-06-1608:05Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
19-5
Cubs
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Padres20036050319210
Cubs0400010005110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#2
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 65%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
32%R 45% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp
Last 20 70% · Season 65% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
55%
+3pp
4–6 Middle
62%
+9pp
7–9 Late
50%
-1pp
F5 first five
59%
+7pp
F9 full game
55%
+4pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

63 games
01224364925241231422826339234352953421636187333381632915610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 284Runs Allowed 226

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games
01633506752281352722553337374303751638626337193089149101410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 259Runs Allowed 311
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR27% 17/6322% 14/63#330% 19/6325% 16/63#135% 22/6327% 17/63#232% 20/6329% 18/6320% 10/5173% 8/11
RA#225% 16/6314% 9/63#325% 16/6325% 16/63#130% 19/6321% 13/6317% 11/6325% 16/6321% 12/5745% 5/11
CubsR#146% 28/61#330% 18/6126% 16/61#233% 20/6130% 18/6115% 9/6027% 16/6020% 12/6014% 7/5046% 6/13
RA21% 13/6125% 15/61#141% 25/61#333% 20/61#236% 22/6130% 18/6128% 17/6025% 15/6022% 10/4654% 7/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.