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Final
2022-06-1508:05Wrigley Field
Padres
Away
12-5
Cubs
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Team123456789RHE
Padres00000461112150
Cubs1021100005101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Padres scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cubs scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.1
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 20%
Cubs scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 60%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.3
Padres scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
18%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
38%R 40% · RA 35%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
30%R 40% · RA 20%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 68% · Season 65% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
+0pp
4–6 Middle
60%
+8pp
7–9 Late
46%
-5pp
F5 first five
57%
+4pp
F9 full game
53%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

62 games
01224364925231231422824339224352853021630187323381532915610+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.712345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 272Runs Allowed 221

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

60 games
01633506751281352722353336374293751634626277192989139101410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.312345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 254Runs Allowed 299
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR27% 17/6223% 14/62#231% 19/6226% 16/62#135% 22/6226% 16/62#331% 19/6227% 17/6218% 9/5073% 8/11
RA#324% 15/6215% 9/6224% 15/6224% 15/62#129% 18/6221% 13/6218% 11/62#226% 16/6221% 12/5645% 5/11
CubsR#145% 27/60#330% 18/6025% 15/60#232% 19/6028% 17/6015% 9/5927% 16/5920% 12/5914% 7/4946% 6/13
RA22% 13/6025% 15/60#142% 25/60#333% 20/60#237% 22/6028% 17/6027% 16/5924% 14/5920% 9/4554% 7/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.