Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-06-1408:05Wrigley Field

Padres

Away

4-1

Cubs

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	0	4	10	1
Cubs	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Padres scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Padres scoring tendency

22%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 20%

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 60%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Inn.4

Padres scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 35%

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense

40%R 45% · RA 35%

Cubs offense × Padres defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 70% · Season 66% · +4pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

51%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+9pp

7–9 Late

47%

-4pp

F5 first five

56%

+4pp

F9 full game

53%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

61 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 268Runs Allowed 220

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

59 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 253Runs Allowed 295

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	28% 17/61	23% 14/61	#330% 18/61	26% 16/61	#136% 22/61	26% 16/61	#231% 19/61	26% 16/61	18% 9/49	73% 8/11
Padres	RA	#325% 15/61	13% 8/61	25% 15/61	25% 15/61	#130% 18/61	21% 13/61	18% 11/61	#226% 16/61	22% 12/55	45% 5/11
Cubs	R	#146% 27/59	#329% 17/59	25% 15/59	#232% 19/59	29% 17/59	16% 9/58	28% 16/58	21% 12/58	15% 7/48	46% 6/13
Cubs	RA	22% 13/59	25% 15/59	#141% 24/59	#334% 20/59	#237% 22/59	29% 17/59	28% 16/58	22% 13/58	20% 9/44	54% 7/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.