Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-06-0504:10Great American Ball Park

Nationals

Away

10-8

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	3	0	0	3	1	3	10	15	0
Reds	2	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	1	8	10	2

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 20%

Reds scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.8

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Inn.3

Nationals scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Reds defense

32%R 45% · RA 20%

Reds offense × Nationals defense

38%R 25% · RA 50%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 70% · Season 64% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

46%

-6pp

7–9 Late

53%

+2pp

F5 first five

52%

+0pp

F9 full game

52%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

54 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 215Runs Allowed 295

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

51 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 215Runs Allowed 271

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#139% 21/54	22% 12/54	20% 11/54	20% 11/54	24% 13/54	#233% 18/54	20% 11/54	#328% 15/54	13% 6/45	100% 1/1
Nationals	RA	#235% 19/54	26% 14/54	30% 16/54	26% 14/54	#143% 23/54	#331% 17/54	31% 17/54	20% 11/54	24% 9/38	0% 0/1
Reds	R	27% 14/51	20% 10/51	16% 8/51	16% 8/51	31% 16/51	#133% 17/51	18% 9/51	#233% 17/51	#332% 13/41	100% 1/1
Reds	RA	27% 14/51	27% 14/51	#235% 18/51	#335% 18/51	27% 14/51	22% 11/51	22% 11/51	#145% 23/51	23% 7/31	0% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.