Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-05-2910:10T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

0-6

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	5	2
Mariners	1	2	0	1	2	0	0	0	X	6	13	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Heating upCombined vs league +22pp

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Sample 20Combined vs league +22pp

Last 20 72% · Season 49% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

+4pp

4–6 Middle

54%

+3pp

7–9 Late

49%

-2pp

F5 first five

55%

+4pp

F9 full game

53%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 191Runs Allowed 149

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

46 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 184Runs Allowed 208

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	26% 12/46	24% 11/46	24% 11/46	#330% 14/46	#135% 16/46	#235% 16/46	28% 13/46	20% 9/46	15% 5/34	100% 2/2
Astros	RA	#228% 13/46	22% 10/46	20% 9/46	20% 9/46	22% 10/46	#324% 11/46	#130% 14/46	17% 8/46	17% 6/36	100% 2/2
Mariners	R	#230% 14/46	17% 8/46	24% 11/46	20% 9/46	22% 10/46	26% 12/46	#328% 13/46	20% 9/46	#135% 13/37	80% 4/5
Mariners	RA	26% 12/46	#330% 14/46	30% 14/46	26% 12/46	28% 13/46	#233% 15/46	#135% 16/46	17% 8/46	28% 8/29	40% 2/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.