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Final
2022-05-2910:10Petco Park
4-2
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp
#2
Inn.8
Pirates scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 20%
Padres scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.1
Pirates scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 35%
Cooling downCombined vs league -2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Padres defense
28%R 20% · RA 35%
Padres offense × Pirates defense
30%R 15% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +9pp
Last 20 57% · Season 53% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
44%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-2pp
7–9 Late
40%
-11pp
F5 first five
48%
-3pp
F9 full game
44%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
012243648153711438223153143041723512246222372226881592210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 149Runs Allowed 233

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games
081726352119116122211532817420255241862013723238122199410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 194Runs Allowed 167
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR20% 9/4418% 8/44#325% 11/4423% 10/4425% 11/4416% 7/44#230% 13/44#134% 15/449% 3/3450% 1/2
RA#143% 19/44#330% 13/4416% 7/44#232% 14/4430% 13/4418% 8/4427% 12/4425% 11/4422% 7/32100% 2/2
PadresR#229% 13/4522% 10/4527% 12/4527% 12/45#133% 15/4527% 12/45#329% 13/4529% 13/4517% 6/3671% 5/7
RA#229% 13/4516% 7/45#327% 12/4524% 11/45#133% 15/4524% 11/4520% 9/4524% 11/4522% 9/4143% 3/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.