Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-05-2809:40T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

1-6

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	9	1
Mariners	4	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	X	6	10	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +18pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.7

Astros scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

40%R 50% · RA 30%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +18pp

Last 20 70% · Season 54% · +16pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

56%

+5pp

7–9 Late

52%

+1pp

F5 first five

54%

+3pp

F9 full game

53%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 190Runs Allowed 143

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

45 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 178Runs Allowed 207

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	27% 12/45	22% 10/45	24% 11/45	#331% 14/45	#136% 16/45	#236% 16/45	29% 13/45	20% 9/45	15% 5/33	100% 2/2
Astros	RA	#227% 12/45	#322% 10/45	18% 8/45	20% 9/45	22% 10/45	22% 10/45	#131% 14/45	18% 8/45	17% 6/36	100% 2/2
Mariners	R	#229% 13/45	18% 8/45	22% 10/45	20% 9/45	22% 10/45	24% 11/45	#329% 13/45	20% 9/45	#135% 13/37	80% 4/5
Mariners	RA	27% 12/45	29% 13/45	#331% 14/45	27% 12/45	29% 13/45	#233% 15/45	#136% 16/45	18% 8/45	29% 8/28	40% 2/5

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.