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Final
2022-05-2809:40Petco Park
3-4
Padres
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Pirates scoring tendency
25%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 30%
Padres scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.8
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Padres scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.3
Pirates scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Padres scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Pirates offense × Padres defense
25%R 20% · RA 30%
Padres offense × Pirates defense
30%R 15% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 55% · Season 52% · +3pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-7pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-3pp
7–9 Late
43%
-8pp
F5 first five
49%
-3pp
F9 full game
45%
-6pp
Show team trends+

Pirates — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

43 games
012243648143711438223153123041723512216222372225881592210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 146Runs Allowed 229

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

44 games
081726352118116122211532815420255211862013722238122199410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.612345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 190Runs Allowed 164
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PiratesR19% 8/4319% 8/43#326% 11/4321% 9/4326% 11/4316% 7/43#230% 13/43#135% 15/439% 3/3350% 1/2
RA#144% 19/43#330% 13/4316% 7/43#233% 14/4330% 13/4316% 7/4328% 12/4323% 10/4322% 7/32100% 2/2
PadresR#230% 13/4423% 10/4427% 12/4427% 12/44#134% 15/4425% 11/44#330% 13/4427% 12/4417% 6/3671% 5/7
RA#227% 12/4416% 7/44#327% 12/4423% 10/44#134% 15/4425% 11/4420% 9/4425% 11/4422% 9/4043% 3/7

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.