Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-05-2506:40Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

11-4

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	3	0	2	0	5	0	0	0	1	11	15	0
Reds	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	4	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 73% · Season 62% · +10pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

52%

+0pp

4–6 Middle

53%

+3pp

7–9 Late

48%

-2pp

F5 first five

55%

+4pp

F9 full game

51%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 173Runs Allowed 172

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

41 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 159Runs Allowed 226

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#137% 15/41	#234% 14/41	27% 11/41	#332% 13/41	22% 9/41	12% 5/40	28% 11/40	20% 8/40	15% 5/33	100% 2/2
Cubs	RA	22% 9/41	24% 10/41	#137% 15/41	#332% 13/41	#237% 15/41	20% 8/41	30% 12/40	22% 9/40	13% 4/31	50% 1/2
Reds	R	24% 10/41	17% 7/41	12% 5/41	20% 8/41	#134% 14/41	#232% 13/41	17% 7/41	#332% 13/41	28% 10/36	100% 1/1
Reds	RA	27% 11/41	29% 12/41	#337% 15/41	#241% 17/41	27% 11/41	24% 10/41	22% 9/41	#149% 20/41	18% 4/22	0% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.