Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-05-2406:40Great American Ball Park

Cubs

Away

7-4

Reds

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cubs	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	0	0	7	8	1
Reds	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	1	0	4	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.4

Cubs scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.8

Cubs scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 15%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.1

Cubs scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Reds defense

38%R 40% · RA 35%

Reds offense × Cubs defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +20pp

Last 20 68% · Season 61% · +6pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

55%

+3pp

4–6 Middle

52%

+2pp

7–9 Late

47%

-3pp

F5 first five

57%

+6pp

F9 full game

52%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 166Runs Allowed 168

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 155Runs Allowed 219

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cubs	R	#138% 15/40	#235% 14/40	28% 11/40	#330% 12/40	22% 9/40	13% 5/39	26% 10/39	21% 8/39	16% 5/32	100% 2/2
Cubs	RA	22% 9/40	25% 10/40	#138% 15/40	#332% 13/40	#238% 15/40	18% 7/40	31% 12/39	21% 8/39	13% 4/30	50% 1/2
Reds	R	25% 10/40	18% 7/40	12% 5/40	20% 8/40	#135% 14/40	#230% 12/40	18% 7/40	#330% 12/40	29% 10/35	100% 1/1
Reds	RA	28% 11/40	30% 12/40	#338% 15/40	#240% 16/40	28% 11/40	25% 10/40	20% 8/40	#150% 20/40	19% 4/21	0% 0/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.