Scoring Analysis

Final

2022-05-2301:37Rogers Centre

Reds

Away

3-2

Blue Jays

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	3	6	2
Blue Jays	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Reds scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Blue Jays scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 20%

Blue Jays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 25%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Inn.4

Reds scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Blue Jays scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Blue Jays defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Blue Jays offense × Reds defense

38%R 20% · RA 55%

Sample 20Combined vs league +16pp

Last 20 68% · Season 62% · +5pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

50%

-2pp

4–6 Middle

53%

+3pp

7–9 Late

54%

+3pp

F5 first five

51%

-0pp

F9 full game

52%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

39 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 152Runs Allowed 217

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

40 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 145Runs Allowed 154

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	23% 9/39	18% 7/39	13% 5/39	21% 8/39	#136% 14/39	#231% 12/39	18% 7/39	28% 11/39	#329% 10/34	100% 1/1
Reds	RA	28% 11/39	28% 11/39	#336% 14/39	#241% 16/39	28% 11/39	26% 10/39	21% 8/39	#151% 20/39	20% 4/20	0% 0/1
Blue Jays	R	#138% 15/40	30% 12/40	30% 12/40	20% 8/40	20% 8/40	#332% 13/40	#238% 15/40	18% 7/40	11% 3/27	100% 2/2
Blue Jays	RA	20% 8/40	15% 6/40	#128% 11/40	#228% 11/40	22% 9/40	22% 9/40	25% 10/40	#328% 11/40	26% 8/31	50% 1/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.