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Final
2022-05-1507:10Citi Field
4-5
Mets
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#2
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 19%
Mets scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 31%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp
#3
Inn.4
Mariners scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 40%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Mets defense
28%R 30% · RA 25%
Mets offense × Mariners defense
38%R 45% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp
Last 20 65% · Season 58% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
45%
-6pp
4–6 Middle
53%
+3pp
7–9 Late
49%
-1pp
F5 first five
46%
-4pp
F9 full game
49%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
07142129221311121299322164923512136122071498131093110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 127Runs Allowed 135

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

34 games
081624321916111142117311184254524176141171219819792 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 148Runs Allowed 113
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#233% 11/3321% 7/3318% 6/3321% 7/3318% 6/33#324% 8/3324% 8/3318% 6/33#135% 9/2675% 3/4
RA24% 8/33#327% 9/3321% 7/3327% 9/33#230% 10/3327% 9/33#136% 12/3312% 4/3327% 6/2225% 1/4
MetsR32% 11/3415% 5/3421% 7/3424% 8/34#235% 12/34#138% 13/3426% 9/3421% 7/34#335% 9/26100% 2/2
RA21% 7/34#229% 10/3415% 5/34#132% 11/346% 2/34#326% 9/3418% 6/3426% 9/3418% 5/280% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.