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Final
2022-05-1407:10Citi Field
2-1
Mets
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Mariners000100010240
Mets100000000150

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Mariners scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 19%
Mets scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 38%
Sustained highCombined vs league +21pp
#2
Inn.6
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp
#3
Inn.1
Mariners scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Mariners offense × Mets defense
27%R 35% · RA 19%
Mets offense × Mariners defense
39%R 40% · RA 38%
Sample 13Combined vs league +21pp
Last 20 66% · Season 60% · +7pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
48%
-2pp
4–6 Middle
52%
+3pp
7–9 Late
51%
+2pp
F5 first five
48%
-3pp
F9 full game
51%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

32 games
07142129221211121299321164923512136122071398131093110+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 125Runs Allowed 134

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

33 games
081624321816111142117311174254524176141171218819792 10+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.212345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 147Runs Allowed 111
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
MarinersR#234% 11/3222% 7/3219% 6/3219% 6/3219% 6/32#325% 8/3225% 8/3216% 5/32#136% 9/2575% 3/4
RA22% 7/3228% 9/3222% 7/3228% 9/32#231% 10/3228% 9/32#138% 12/3212% 4/32#329% 6/2125% 1/4
MetsR30% 10/3315% 5/3321% 7/3324% 8/33#236% 12/33#139% 13/3327% 9/3321% 7/33#336% 9/25100% 2/2
RA21% 7/33#130% 10/3315% 5/33#230% 10/336% 2/33#327% 9/3318% 6/3324% 8/3319% 5/270% 0/2

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.