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Final
2022-04-2308:10
4-3
Astros
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Blue Jays000120001470
Astros003000000370

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 8%
Astros scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 23%
Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp
#2
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 42%
Astros scoring tendency
20%
Own scoring 8%
Opponent allowing 31%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#3
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 46%
Opponent allowing 33%
Astros scoring tendency
16%
Own scoring 17%
Opponent allowing 15%
Sustained highCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Astros defense
23%R 38% · RA 8%
Astros offense × Blue Jays defense
37%R 50% · RA 23%
Sample 12Combined vs league +7pp
Last 20 60% · Season 60% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
+2pp
4–6 Middle
48%
-2pp
7–9 Late
46%
-3pp
F5 first five
50%
-0pp
F9 full game
49%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games
0369131051982873484685716557348 49ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 52Runs Allowed 50

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

12 games
049131831011622 338466545614375782191210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.61.21.92.512345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 41Runs Allowed 48
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#146% 6/13#238% 5/13#338% 5/1315% 2/1323% 3/1338% 5/1338% 5/1315% 2/130% 0/9-
RA15% 2/13#131% 4/13#231% 4/1323% 3/13#331% 4/138% 1/1323% 3/1331% 4/1320% 2/10-
AstrosR17% 2/128% 1/1217% 2/1217% 2/12#233% 4/12#325% 3/12#150% 6/1225% 3/1218% 2/11100% 1/1
RA#233% 4/12#142% 5/120% 0/1225% 3/1217% 2/12#333% 4/128% 1/1233% 4/1211% 1/9100% 1/1

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.