Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-03-2704:05Goodyear Ballpark

Reds

Away

2-3

Guardians

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Reds	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	8	0
Guardians	0	0	1	2	0	0	0	0	X	3	4	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Reds scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +26pp

Inn.1

Reds scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Guardians scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 35%

Sustained highCombined vs league +20pp

Inn.7

Reds scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 50%

Guardians scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Reds offense × Guardians defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Guardians offense × Reds defense

43%R 40% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +26pp

Last 20 85% · Season 76% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+5pp

4–6 Middle

64%

+3pp

7–9 Late

53%

-6pp

F5 first five

66%

+6pp

F9 full game

61%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Reds — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

28 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 167Runs Allowed 178

Guardians — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 132Runs Allowed 150

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Reds	R	#143% 12/28	36% 10/28	#239% 11/28	25% 7/28	#339% 11/28	39% 11/28	21% 6/28	36% 10/28	36% 8/22	-
Reds	RA	#143% 12/28	29% 8/28	39% 11/28	21% 6/28	#243% 12/28	39% 11/28	#343% 12/28	32% 9/28	22% 5/23	-
Guardians	R	#148% 13/27	#333% 9/27	22% 6/27	19% 5/27	#241% 11/27	33% 9/27	22% 6/27	26% 7/27	25% 5/20	-
Guardians	RA	#144% 12/27	#333% 9/27	26% 7/27	30% 8/27	30% 8/27	15% 4/27	#244% 12/27	30% 8/27	32% 6/19	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.