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Final
2023-03-2406:05
4-5
Astros
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Nationals1003000004120
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 35%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.9
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 25%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 31%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
35%R 35% · RA 35%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 70% · Season 68% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
52%
-8pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-12pp
7–9 Late
60%
+0pp
F5 first five
48%
-12pp
F9 full game
54%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

23 games
061218255101762181634134618516362117191382089ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.4123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 97Runs Allowed 98

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
051116229611117216123984565151061557161287129ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 103Runs Allowed 88
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR22% 5/2322% 5/2335% 8/2317% 4/2322% 5/23#243% 10/239% 2/23#339% 9/23#156% 10/18-
RA#230% 7/2317% 4/23#330% 7/2330% 7/2326% 6/2313% 3/23#135% 8/2326% 6/2326% 5/19-
AstrosR17% 4/24#333% 8/24#138% 9/2421% 5/248% 2/2429% 7/2429% 7/24#238% 9/2426% 5/19-
RA17% 4/2425% 6/24#133% 8/2425% 6/2417% 4/24#329% 7/2412% 3/24#233% 8/2425% 5/20-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.