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Final
2023-03-2401:05
3-0
Twins
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Blue Jays002010000380
Twins000000000042

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Twins scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#2
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 20%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.2
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 35%
Twins scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Twins defense
43%R 45% · RA 40%
Twins offense × Blue Jays defense
22%R 15% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +3pp
Last 20 65% · Season 63% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
57%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
57%
-4pp
7–9 Late
46%
-14pp
F5 first five
56%
-4pp
F9 full game
53%
-7pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

27 games
071522309191149219163241742111511176196771881269ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 136Runs Allowed 119

Twins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

25 games
05111723111211516291831414413185131861711710881519ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.20.50.81.0123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 117Runs Allowed 116
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR#326% 7/2722% 6/27#144% 12/2726% 7/27#233% 9/2722% 6/2726% 7/2719% 5/2721% 4/19-
RA#237% 10/2722% 6/27#333% 9/2722% 6/2722% 6/27#141% 11/2719% 5/2730% 8/2716% 3/19-
TwinsR16% 4/2528% 7/2516% 4/25#140% 10/2520% 5/25#336% 9/2536% 9/2520% 5/25#237% 7/19-
RA20% 5/25#236% 9/2532% 8/25#140% 10/25#336% 9/2532% 8/2528% 7/2524% 6/256% 1/17-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.