Sportify
Final
2023-03-2004:05Sloan Park
Padres
Away
2-5
Cubs
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.9
Padres scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 29%
Cubs scoring tendency
47%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 44%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.8
Padres scoring tendency
49%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 50%
Cubs scoring tendency
21%
Own scoring 10%
Opponent allowing 32%
Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp
#3
Inn.7
Padres scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cubs scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 35%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Cubs defense
35%R 40% · RA 29%
Cubs offense × Padres defense
47%R 50% · RA 44%
Sample 15Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 82% · Season 81% · +1pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
49%
-12pp
4–6 Middle
62%
-0pp
7–9 Late
72%
+10pp
F5 first five
55%
-7pp
F9 full game
61%
-1pp
Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
091827371081211624631617429958166131471611812129ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.7123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 129Runs Allowed 109

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

21 games
0511162251016102119313154121451776118731781589ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 93Runs Allowed 98
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PadresR29% 6/21#338% 8/2119% 4/2138% 8/21#152% 11/2124% 5/2135% 7/20#250% 10/2038% 6/16-
RA19% 4/2129% 6/2119% 4/21#143% 9/2124% 5/21#338% 8/2133% 7/2130% 6/20#241% 7/17-
CubsR14% 3/2119% 4/21#333% 7/2129% 6/2119% 4/21#243% 9/2133% 7/2114% 3/21#150% 8/16-
RA19% 4/2129% 6/21#233% 7/2124% 5/2124% 5/2119% 4/2124% 5/21#148% 10/21#333% 6/18-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.