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Final
2023-03-2001:05Tropicana Field
0-1
Rays
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Blue Jays scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 55%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.1
Blue Jays scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Short-term swingCombined vs league +3pp
#3
Inn.8
Blue Jays scoring tendency
22%
Own scoring 15%
Opponent allowing 30%
Rays scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 25%
Cooling downCombined vs league -8pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Rays defense
43%R 55% · RA 30%
Rays offense × Blue Jays defense
40%R 55% · RA 25%
Sample 20Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 82% · Season 80% · +2pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
68%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
52%
-11pp
7–9 Late
54%
-8pp
F5 first five
61%
-1pp
F9 full game
58%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

24 games
07152230819114921915324174201151116619675188969ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 129Runs Allowed 117

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

22 games
071421281010112142219317348851110617117221287129ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 125Runs Allowed 89
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR25% 6/2425% 6/24#150% 12/24#329% 7/24#233% 8/2425% 6/2429% 7/2417% 4/2418% 3/17-
RA#142% 10/2425% 6/24#333% 8/2425% 6/2425% 6/24#242% 10/2421% 5/2433% 8/2418% 3/17-
RaysR27% 6/2232% 7/22#150% 11/22#250% 11/2223% 5/2223% 5/2236% 8/22#350% 11/2213% 2/15-
RA27% 6/2227% 6/2227% 6/229% 2/2214% 3/22#232% 7/2227% 6/22#332% 7/22#133% 6/18-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.