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Final
2023-03-1801:05
11-7
Astros
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals00100101811150
Astros0041001107131

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 32%
Astros scoring tendency
33%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 29%
Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp
#2
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
39%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 32%
Astros scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 18%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp
#3
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
36%
Own scoring 41%
Opponent allowing 32%
Astros scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 37%
Opponent allowing 24%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -1pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Astros defense
33%R 35% · RA 32%
Astros offense × Nationals defense
33%R 37% · RA 29%
Sample 17Combined vs league +3pp
Last 20 67% · Season 67% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
56%
-5pp
4–6 Middle
49%
-15pp
7–9 Late
55%
-8pp
F5 first five
50%
-12pp
F9 full game
53%
-9pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

17 games
051015204716421510321245165133619716881069ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.2123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 72Runs Allowed 75

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
051116229611117210937641551596143712108629ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.81.1123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 85Runs Allowed 67
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR24% 4/1724% 4/1735% 6/1712% 2/1724% 4/17#247% 8/176% 1/17#341% 7/17#157% 8/14-
RA24% 4/1718% 3/17#329% 5/17#135% 6/1729% 5/1718% 3/17#235% 6/1724% 4/1723% 3/13-
AstrosR21% 4/19#142% 8/19#237% 7/1916% 3/195% 1/19#337% 7/1932% 6/1937% 7/1927% 4/15-
RA21% 4/19#132% 6/19#232% 6/1921% 4/1916% 3/19#332% 6/195% 1/1932% 6/1913% 2/15-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.