Sportify
Final
2023-03-1706:05Ed Smith Stadium
4-7
Team123456789RHE
Blue Jays2000000024100
Orioles02203000X7111

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.4
Blue Jays scoring tendency
47%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 63%
Orioles scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 42%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp
#2
Inn.6
Blue Jays scoring tendency
34%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 47%
Orioles scoring tendency
46%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp
#3
Inn.7
Blue Jays scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 39%
Orioles scoring tendency
29%
Own scoring 39%
Opponent allowing 20%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Blue Jays offense × Orioles defense
47%R 30% · RA 63%
Orioles offense × Blue Jays defense
34%R 42% · RA 25%
Sample 19Combined vs league +17pp
Last 20 80% · Season 80% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
58%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
71%
+6pp
7–9 Late
57%
-8pp
F5 first five
62%
-1pp
F9 full game
62%
-2pp
Show team trends+

Blue Jays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

20 games
071421285141127218133221342065914619575188769ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.71.01.4123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 117Runs Allowed 96

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

19 games
0816243278110524133172542095181761112714168669ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.6123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 107Runs Allowed 111
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Blue JaysR20% 4/2025% 5/20#155% 11/2030% 6/20#240% 8/2020% 4/20#335% 7/2020% 4/2014% 2/14-
RA#335% 7/2025% 5/2035% 7/2025% 5/2020% 4/20#145% 9/2020% 4/20#240% 8/2020% 3/15-
OriolesR26% 5/1926% 5/1911% 2/19#242% 8/1932% 6/19#147% 9/19#339% 7/1833% 6/1821% 3/14-
RA37% 7/1921% 4/1932% 6/19#163% 12/1916% 3/19#247% 9/19#339% 7/1833% 6/1829% 4/14-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.