Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-03-1501:05

Cardinals

Away

3-3

Astros

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Cardinals	0	0	2	0	0	1	0	0	0	3	4	0
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	3	0	0	0X	3	4	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.2

Cardinals scoring tendency

34%

Own scoring 29%

Opponent allowing 40%

Astros scoring tendency

52%

Own scoring 53%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +23pp

Inn.3

Cardinals scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 43%

Opponent allowing 33%

Astros scoring tendency

31%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 21%

Sustained highCombined vs league +3pp

Inn.6

Cardinals scoring tendency

17%

Own scoring 7%

Opponent allowing 27%

Astros scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 33%

Opponent allowing 50%

Short-term swingCombined vs league -10pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cardinals offense × Astros defense

34%R 29% · RA 40%

Astros offense × Cardinals defense

52%R 53% · RA 50%

Sample 14Combined vs league +23pp

Last 20 86% · Season 86% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

69%

+6pp

4–6 Middle

43%

-23pp

7–9 Late

54%

-11pp

F5 first five

55%

-8pp

F9 full game

55%

-9pp

Show team trends+

Cardinals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 73Runs Allowed 63

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

15 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 70Runs Allowed 60

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Cardinals	R	#236% 5/14	29% 4/14	#143% 6/14	29% 4/14	29% 4/14	7% 1/14	#336% 5/14	14% 2/14	22% 2/9	-
Cardinals	RA	29% 4/14	#150% 7/14	21% 3/14	14% 2/14	21% 3/14	#250% 7/14	21% 3/14	29% 4/14	#338% 5/13	-
Astros	R	13% 2/15	#153% 8/15	#240% 6/15	13% 2/15	0% 0/15	33% 5/15	#340% 6/15	40% 6/15	27% 3/11	-
Astros	RA	27% 4/15	#140% 6/15	#233% 5/15	27% 4/15	7% 1/15	27% 4/15	7% 1/15	#333% 5/15	17% 2/12	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.