Sportify
Final
2023-03-1301:05Ed Smith Stadium
4-6
Team123456789RHE
Red Sox000400000461
Orioles01050000X660

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Red Sox scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 47%
Orioles scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 47%
Opponent allowing 43%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#2
Inn.4
Red Sox scoring tendency
37%
Own scoring 14%
Opponent allowing 60%
Orioles scoring tendency
31%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 21%
Sustained highCombined vs league +6pp
#3
Inn.8
Red Sox scoring tendency
42%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 33%
Orioles scoring tendency
24%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 14%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Red Sox offense × Orioles defense
48%R 50% · RA 47%
Orioles offense × Red Sox defense
45%R 47% · RA 43%
Sample 14Combined vs league +24pp
Last 20 93% · Season 93% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-10pp
4–6 Middle
71%
+7pp
7–9 Late
57%
-8pp
F5 first five
56%
-7pp
F9 full game
60%
-4pp
Show team trends+

Red Sox — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

14 games
061320279211162147353466521969271058679ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.50.91.41.9123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 91Runs Allowed 47

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

15 games
0612182457145248310174198511146812711128659ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.81.21.6123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 78Runs Allowed 88
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
Red SoxR21% 3/14#343% 6/1436% 5/1414% 2/1429% 4/14#150% 7/1421% 3/14#250% 7/1430% 3/10-
RA7% 1/14#229% 4/14#329% 4/1421% 3/1429% 4/14#143% 6/1414% 2/1414% 2/1415% 2/13-
OriolesR27% 4/1520% 3/1513% 2/15#240% 6/15#333% 5/15#147% 7/1533% 5/1533% 5/1523% 3/13-
RA40% 6/1527% 4/1527% 4/15#160% 9/1513% 2/15#247% 7/15#347% 7/1533% 5/1527% 3/11-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.