Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-03-1204:10Roger Dean Chevrolet Stadium

Rays

Away

3-5

Marlins

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Rays	0	0	2	0	1	0	0	0	0	3	4	0
Marlins	0	0	0	0	5	0	0	0	X	5	9	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.8

Rays scoring tendency

64%

Own scoring 62%

Opponent allowing 67%

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 38%

Sustained highCombined vs league +25pp

Inn.6

Rays scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 38%

Opponent allowing 25%

Marlins scoring tendency

48%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 46%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Inn.3

Rays scoring tendency

56%

Own scoring 54%

Opponent allowing 58%

Marlins scoring tendency

20%

Own scoring 17%

Opponent allowing 23%

Sustained highCombined vs league +12pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Rays offense × Marlins defense

64%R 62% · RA 67%

Marlins offense × Rays defense

32%R 25% · RA 38%

Sample 12Combined vs league +25pp

Last 20 96% · Season 96% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

62%

-0pp

4–6 Middle

57%

-6pp

7–9 Late

65%

-1pp

F5 first five

56%

-6pp

F9 full game

62%

-2pp

Show team trends+

Rays — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

13 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 83Runs Allowed 54

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

12 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 38Runs Allowed 75

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Rays	R	38% 5/13	31% 4/13	#254% 7/13	#346% 6/13	23% 3/13	38% 5/13	38% 5/13	#162% 8/13	10% 1/10	-
Rays	RA	23% 3/13	31% 4/13	23% 3/13	8% 1/13	0% 0/13	#146% 6/13	31% 4/13	#238% 5/13	#333% 4/12	-
Marlins	R	17% 2/12	#233% 4/12	17% 2/12	8% 1/12	#325% 3/12	#150% 6/12	25% 3/12	25% 3/12	17% 2/12	-
Marlins	RA	25% 3/12	25% 3/12	#258% 7/12	#342% 5/12	33% 4/12	25% 3/12	17% 2/12	#167% 8/12	25% 2/8	-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.