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Final
2023-03-0402:10Clover Park
11-6
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals00810100111111
Mets002040000662

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
54%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 57%
Mets scoring tendency
23%
Own scoring 29%
Opponent allowing 17%
Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp
#2
Inn.8
Nationals scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 43%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 33%
Short-term swingCombined vs league -5pp
#3
Inn.5
Nationals scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 33%
Opponent allowing 57%
Mets scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 43%
Opponent allowing 17%
Sustained highCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Mets defense
54%R 50% · RA 57%
Mets offense × Nationals defense
23%R 29% · RA 17%
Sample 6Combined vs league +8pp
Last 20 76% · Season 76% · +0pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
61%
-4pp
4–6 Middle
54%
-10pp
7–9 Late
65%
-2pp
F5 first five
62%
-1pp
F9 full game
60%
-5pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

6 games
02469121212523 74225316 27358329ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.71.11.5123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 19Runs Allowed 24

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

7 games
0257103513523536 4685 16177578719ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.8123456789Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 34Runs Allowed 39
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR17% 1/6#333% 2/6#150% 3/60% 0/633% 2/633% 2/60% 0/633% 2/6#250% 3/6-
RA17% 1/617% 1/617% 1/6#167% 4/617% 1/617% 1/6#233% 2/6#333% 2/620% 1/5-
MetsR29% 2/729% 2/729% 2/7#243% 3/7#343% 3/70% 0/714% 1/743% 3/7#160% 3/5-
RA14% 1/7#157% 4/7#257% 4/70% 0/7#357% 4/714% 1/743% 3/743% 3/720% 1/5-

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.