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Final
2023-10-0107:20Truist Park
3-5
Braves
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Team123456789RHE
Nationals3000000003102
Braves00104000X5110

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Nationals scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 55%
Braves scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +28pp
#2
Inn.3
Nationals scoring tendency
40%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 50%
Braves scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#3
Inn.1
Nationals scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 25%
Opponent allowing 30%
Braves scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +11pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Braves defense
50%R 45% · RA 55%
Braves offense × Nationals defense
35%R 40% · RA 30%
Sample 20Combined vs league +28pp
Last 20 85% · Season 61% · +24pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
72%
+15pp
7–9 Late
54%
+0pp
F5 first five
64%
+7pp
F9 full game
63%
+7pp
Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

160 games
0367210814493981847326893377100463109578846751157688686465917810+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.40.91.31.812345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 687Runs Allowed 831

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

160 games
04590135180144691103732100933114844113805101916808271046885354921910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 933Runs Allowed 703
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
NationalsR#131% 50/160#229% 47/16025% 40/160#328% 45/16023% 37/16026% 42/16025% 40/16025% 40/16026% 35/13383% 10/12
RA#334% 54/16029% 47/16033% 53/160#235% 56/16028% 45/16030% 48/160#138% 60/16028% 45/16031% 37/12133% 4/12
BravesR#140% 64/16032% 52/16034% 55/160#335% 56/160#239% 62/16035% 55/15929% 46/15934% 54/15923% 26/11477% 10/13
RA24% 38/16024% 39/160#329% 47/160#231% 49/16028% 44/160#132% 51/15929% 46/15924% 38/15925% 34/13462% 8/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.