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Final
2023-10-0104:15Citi Field
4-11
Mets
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Team123456789RHE
Phillies000400000482
Mets03521000X11101

Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.5
Phillies scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
38%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +14pp
#2
Inn.3
Phillies scoring tendency
28%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 25%
Mets scoring tendency
35%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 40%
Sustained highCombined vs league +4pp
#3
Inn.4
Phillies scoring tendency
30%
Own scoring 30%
Opponent allowing 30%
Mets scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 35%
Opponent allowing 30%
Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Phillies offense × Mets defense
32%R 35% · RA 30%
Mets offense × Phillies defense
38%R 30% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +14pp
Last 20 70% · Season 62% · +8pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
53%
-3pp
4–6 Middle
64%
+7pp
7–9 Late
52%
-2pp
F5 first five
58%
+2pp
F9 full game
56%
+1pp
Show team trends+

Phillies — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games
0316293124948317468281953979149991594626967576673857399222210+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.60.91.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 780Runs Allowed 699

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

159 games
0316293124559315877297693967049985584816809475687860449161310+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 701Runs Allowed 713
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
PhilliesR#232% 51/15928% 44/15930% 47/15930% 48/159#136% 57/15931% 49/159#331% 50/15923% 36/15927% 32/12067% 16/24
RA#330% 48/15921% 34/159#134% 54/159#231% 49/15928% 44/15923% 37/15925% 40/15928% 45/15922% 27/12454% 13/24
MetsR22% 35/15921% 34/159#234% 54/159#135% 56/15931% 50/159#332% 51/15826% 41/15822% 34/15827% 33/12380% 8/10
RA#135% 56/15927% 43/15925% 40/15924% 38/15929% 46/15928% 44/158#232% 50/158#331% 49/15824% 27/11460% 6/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.