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Final
2023-09-2907:20Truist Park
Cubs
Away
3-5
Braves
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Scoring Analysis

H/A
Data range
Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

#1
Inn.6
Cubs scoring tendency
48%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 50%
Braves scoring tendency
45%
Own scoring 45%
Opponent allowing 45%
Sustained highCombined vs league +35pp
#2
Inn.3
Cubs scoring tendency
50%
Own scoring 50%
Opponent allowing 50%
Braves scoring tendency
32%
Own scoring 40%
Opponent allowing 25%
Sustained highCombined vs league +24pp
#3
Inn.9
Cubs scoring tendency
43%
Own scoring 38%
Opponent allowing 47%
Braves scoring tendency
27%
Own scoring 20%
Opponent allowing 33%
Heating upCombined vs league +16pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Cubs offense × Braves defense
48%R 45% · RA 50%
Braves offense × Cubs defense
45%R 45% · RA 45%
Sample 20Combined vs league +35pp
Last 20 92% · Season 60% · +32pp

Game phases

1–3 Early
63%
+7pp
4–6 Middle
68%
+11pp
7–9 Late
60%
+6pp
F5 first five
60%
+4pp
F9 full game
64%
+8pp
Show team trends+

Cubs — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games
0377411114980871817721199038181490685808368080711771864539111410+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.30.50.81.112345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 803Runs Allowed 704

Braves — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games
0448813217714168110073299933114804109805101876807971046785354921910+ScoredAllowed
Avg Runs Trend
0.00.51.01.52.012345678910+Avg. ScoredAvg. Allowed
Runs 922Runs Allowed 690
Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

TeamItem12345678910+
CubsR29% 46/15828% 44/158#135% 56/158#231% 49/15829% 46/15826% 41/15827% 43/158#330% 47/15829% 33/11562% 10/16
RA#233% 52/15827% 42/158#134% 54/15827% 42/15822% 35/15828% 44/158#330% 47/15825% 40/15824% 30/12662% 10/16
BravesR#139% 62/15832% 50/15834% 54/158#335% 56/158#239% 61/15835% 55/15729% 46/15734% 54/15723% 26/11377% 10/13
RA23% 37/15825% 39/158#330% 47/158#230% 48/15828% 44/158#131% 49/15729% 45/15724% 37/15726% 34/13262% 8/13

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.