Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-10-0301:10Citi Field

Marlins

Away

0-1

Mets

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Marlins	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	-	0	4	1
Mets	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	X	1	5	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Marlins scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

40%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.8

Marlins scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mets scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Inn.6

Marlins scoring tendency

25%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 30%

Mets scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +2pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Marlins offense × Mets defense

35%R 40% · RA 30%

Mets offense × Marlins defense

40%R 35% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 75% · Season 58% · +17pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

48%

-8pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

57%

+3pp

F5 first five

54%

-2pp

F9 full game

56%

+0pp

Show team trends+

Marlins — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 655Runs Allowed 713

Mets — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 700Runs Allowed 713

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Marlins	R	24% 38/158	21% 33/158	#131% 49/158	#328% 44/158	26% 41/158	24% 38/158	25% 40/158	#229% 46/158	22% 27/121	74% 14/19
Marlins	RA	22% 34/158	25% 39/158	27% 43/158	#229% 46/158	#328% 45/158	#132% 51/158	28% 45/158	27% 43/158	28% 33/120	58% 11/19
Mets	R	22% 35/158	22% 34/158	#234% 54/158	#135% 56/158	32% 50/158	#332% 51/157	26% 41/157	21% 33/157	27% 33/123	80% 8/10
Mets	RA	#135% 56/158	27% 43/158	25% 40/158	24% 38/158	29% 46/158	28% 44/157	#232% 50/157	#331% 49/157	24% 27/114	60% 6/10

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.