Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2809:45Oracle Park

Padres

Away

5-2

Giants

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	R	H	E
Padres	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	0	0	3	5	10	0
Giants	0	1	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	2	5	3

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Padres scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 50%

Opponent allowing 40%

Giants scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +15pp

Inn.6

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Giants scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.3

Padres scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Giants scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Padres offense × Giants defense

45%R 50% · RA 40%

Giants offense × Padres defense

30%R 30% · RA 30%

Sample 20Combined vs league +15pp

Last 20 75% · Season 62% · +13pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

63%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

53%

-4pp

7–9 Late

54%

+0pp

F5 first five

57%

-0pp

F9 full game

57%

+1pp

Show team trends+

Padres — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 736Runs Allowed 642

Giants — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 666Runs Allowed 702

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Padres	R	#137% 59/158	25% 39/158	28% 45/158	28% 45/158	#232% 51/158	#330% 48/158	26% 41/158	28% 45/158	28% 32/116	29% 5/17
Padres	RA	#325% 40/158	22% 35/158	#227% 42/158	25% 40/158	24% 38/158	#127% 43/158	23% 37/158	22% 34/158	19% 24/127	88% 15/17
Giants	R	#228% 44/158	24% 38/158	#327% 42/158	20% 31/158	25% 40/158	27% 42/158	23% 36/158	24% 38/158	#129% 35/122	62% 13/21
Giants	RA	#133% 52/158	27% 42/158	#328% 45/158	24% 38/158	#231% 49/158	27% 43/158	27% 43/158	27% 42/158	28% 33/117	48% 10/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.