Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2809:40T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

8-3

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	4	0	0	3	1	0	8	14	0
Mariners	1	0	0	2	0	0	0	0	0	3	8	1

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mariners scoring tendency

45%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 55%

Sustained highCombined vs league +19pp

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 35%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +8pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +9pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

30%R 40% · RA 20%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

45%R 35% · RA 55%

Sample 20Combined vs league +19pp

Last 20 75% · Season 57% · +18pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

64%

+7pp

4–6 Middle

59%

+2pp

7–9 Late

52%

-2pp

F5 first five

62%

+5pp

F9 full game

58%

+3pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 808Runs Allowed 693

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 742Runs Allowed 643

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#135% 55/158	23% 37/158	30% 47/158	28% 44/158	27% 42/158	25% 40/158	#331% 49/158	27% 43/158	#233% 41/123	60% 9/15
Astros	RA	27% 43/158	25% 39/158	#131% 49/158	26% 41/158	#231% 49/158	27% 43/158	22% 34/158	28% 45/158	#330% 40/133	73% 11/15
Mariners	R	29% 45/157	#131% 48/157	25% 40/157	#231% 48/157	30% 47/157	26% 41/157	24% 37/157	27% 42/157	#331% 36/118	44% 12/27
Mariners	RA	#131% 49/157	22% 35/157	#331% 48/157	22% 34/157	27% 42/157	#231% 49/157	23% 36/157	19% 30/157	29% 37/128	67% 18/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.