Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2806:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Nationals

Away

1-5

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	1	0	0	0	0	1	6	0
Orioles	0	0	2	0	2	1	0	0	X	5	9	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

38%

Own scoring 30%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 25%

Heating upCombined vs league +7pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +5pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Orioles defense

32%R 30% · RA 35%

Orioles offense × Nationals defense

38%R 30% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

56%

-1pp

4–6 Middle

62%

+5pp

7–9 Late

55%

+2pp

F5 first five

57%

+1pp

F9 full game

58%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

158 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 676Runs Allowed 820

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 794Runs Allowed 666

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#132% 50/158	#230% 47/158	25% 40/158	#328% 44/158	23% 36/158	26% 41/158	25% 39/158	25% 40/158	27% 35/131	83% 10/12
Nationals	RA	#334% 53/158	29% 46/158	33% 52/158	#235% 56/158	27% 43/158	30% 47/158	#138% 60/158	28% 45/158	31% 37/120	33% 4/12
Orioles	R	27% 43/157	#331% 48/157	31% 48/157	#132% 50/157	#232% 50/157	27% 43/157	24% 37/157	26% 41/157	26% 31/117	71% 15/21
Orioles	RA	#329% 46/157	23% 36/157	#131% 48/157	29% 45/157	27% 42/157	#231% 48/157	25% 40/157	27% 42/157	21% 28/136	43% 9/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.