Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2710:05T-Mobile Park

Astros

Away

2-6

Mariners

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Astros	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	2	10	3
Mariners	0	0	2	0	3	0	0	1	X	6	8	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Astros scoring tendency

43%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 40%

Mariners scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 20%

Opponent allowing 40%

Sustained highCombined vs league +13pp

Inn.5

Astros scoring tendency

30%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 20%

Mariners scoring tendency

42%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 50%

Sustained highCombined vs league +17pp

Inn.3

Astros scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 45%

Opponent allowing 25%

Mariners scoring tendency

28%

Own scoring 15%

Opponent allowing 40%

Short-term swingCombined vs league +4pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Astros offense × Mariners defense

43%R 45% · RA 40%

Mariners offense × Astros defense

30%R 20% · RA 40%

Sample 20Combined vs league +13pp

Last 20 73% · Season 61% · +11pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

65%

+8pp

4–6 Middle

60%

+3pp

7–9 Late

49%

-4pp

F5 first five

63%

+6pp

F9 full game

58%

+2pp

Show team trends+

Astros — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 806Runs Allowed 687

Mariners — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 736Runs Allowed 641

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Astros	R	#135% 55/157	24% 37/157	30% 47/157	28% 44/157	27% 42/157	25% 40/157	#331% 48/157	27% 43/157	#233% 40/122	60% 9/15
Astros	RA	27% 43/157	25% 39/157	#131% 48/157	26% 41/157	#231% 48/157	27% 43/157	22% 34/157	28% 44/157	#330% 40/133	73% 11/15
Mariners	R	29% 45/156	#131% 48/156	25% 39/156	#231% 48/156	29% 46/156	26% 41/156	24% 37/156	26% 41/156	#331% 36/118	44% 12/27
Mariners	RA	#131% 49/156	22% 35/156	#331% 48/156	22% 34/156	27% 42/156	#231% 49/156	22% 35/156	19% 30/156	28% 36/127	67% 18/27

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.