Scoring Analysis

Final

2023-09-2706:35Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Nationals

Away

0-1

Orioles

Home

Team	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	R	H	E
Nationals	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	3	0
Orioles	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	X	1	6	0

H/A

Data range

Ranked from both teams’ inning offense and defense. Each team value combines its scoring rate with the opponent’s allowing rate; the league gap sums both sides. This is historical context, not a prediction.

Scoring hotspots

Inn.1

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 35%

Orioles scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 45%

Sustained highCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.6

Nationals scoring tendency

35%

Own scoring 40%

Opponent allowing 30%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Heating upCombined vs league +10pp

Inn.4

Nationals scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 25%

Opponent allowing 40%

Orioles scoring tendency

32%

Own scoring 35%

Opponent allowing 30%

Sustained highCombined vs league +7pp

Innings 1–9 scoring tendencies

Each cell combines both teams’ tendencies; select an inning to see the split

Nationals offense × Orioles defense

35%R 35% · RA 35%

Orioles offense × Nationals defense

35%R 25% · RA 45%

Sample 20Combined vs league +10pp

Last 20 70% · Season 61% · +9pp

Game phases

1–3 Early

57%

+1pp

4–6 Middle

64%

+7pp

7–9 Late

57%

+4pp

F5 first five

60%

+3pp

F9 full game

60%

+4pp

Show team trends+

Nationals — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

157 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 676Runs Allowed 819

Orioles — Inning Runs / Runs Allowed

156 games

Avg Runs Trend

Runs 793Runs Allowed 666

Show raw detail and samples+

Each team is ranked separately: #1–#3 mark the top three scoring rates and allowing rates.

Team	Item	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10+
Nationals	R	#132% 50/157	#230% 47/157	25% 40/157	#328% 44/157	23% 36/157	26% 41/157	25% 39/157	25% 40/157	27% 35/130	83% 10/12
Nationals	RA	#333% 52/157	29% 46/157	33% 52/157	#236% 56/157	27% 43/157	30% 47/157	#138% 60/157	29% 45/157	31% 37/120	33% 4/12
Orioles	R	27% 42/156	#331% 48/156	31% 48/156	#132% 50/156	#232% 50/156	28% 43/156	24% 37/156	26% 41/156	26% 31/117	71% 15/21
Orioles	RA	#329% 46/156	23% 36/156	#131% 48/156	29% 45/156	27% 42/156	#231% 48/156	26% 40/156	27% 42/156	21% 28/135	43% 9/21

Scoring rate is the share of actual offensive innings with at least one run. Unplayed half-innings are excluded; extras do not enter the top-three ranking.